The Ultimate Guide to the Best Forex Candlestick Patterns
Both
the hammer and the hanging man are probably the most basic, but at the
same time, the most efficient candlestick patterns to trade Forex with
if your goal is to jump in a trade when the market is about to reverse.
That is why they belong to the category of one-candlestick reversal
patterns. The hammer is the bullish pattern that appears at the bottom
of the trend after a substantial price decline, whereas the hanging man
is a bearish pattern that can be seen at the top of the uptrend. Both
these patterns are tradable on any time frame higher than 15M.To get
more news about Forex Tips, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
The
ability to recognize and trade off these patterns is invaluable for any
successful Forex trader because they hint at the probable top, or the
probable bottom, of a trend and signal that traders should start looking
for the most optimal exit or entry points.
The hammer pattern
emerges when a currency price drop substantially lower than the opening
price of the day, but then the buyers step in and drive the price back
to the level near the day‘s open, thus forming the one-candlestick
pattern with a large lower wick (shadow), a relatively small real body
at the absence, or a very small, upper wick. The color of the real body
doesn’t bear much significance - it can be red (black) at the bottom of
the downtrend or green (white) at the top of an uptrend. Certainly, a
green body of a candlestick that flags the possible trend reversal might
look more reassuring, but in reality, there have been many strong
uptrends that stemmed from the hammer with the red body.
It‘s
important to know that the proper hammer pattern should have the lower
wick at least twice as large as the candle’s real body; otherwise, that
Forex candlestick pattern must be deemed as neutral. Also, remember that
the real body of either a hammer or a hanging man must stay close or be
within the upper (lower) price range.
When this formation appears,
traders say that the market is hammering out, and the reversal could be
in the making. But the real essence of this candlestick pattern is best
described by its Japanese name, “takuri”, which can be roughly
translated as “testing the depth of the water by trying to reach for the
bottom with a leg,” which makes a lot of sense when you look at its
structure.
The rule of thumb for using both these patterns is quite
simple: the strength, or the reliability, of a hammer or a hanging man
depends on the length of the lower wick, the size of the real body, and
the presence of the absence of an upper wick and its size. The most
meaningful patterns have a very long lower wick, small bodies, up to the
point where they look like a dragonfly doji, and a very little or no
upper wick.
There is another hint regarding this pattern that we‘d
like to share with you: when the hanging man appears at the presumed top
of the uptrend, don’t rush into selling your position because the
market is still running on the bullish steam, especially if the price
movement is supported by the increasing volume, and there is a good
chance that it would eat up the hanging man and continue pushing
northward. Instead, wait for the next session to see whether the Forex
market opens lower than the previous day‘s close. If that’s the case and
the price drops with a considerable gap, the viability of the hanging
man increases dramatically, and you can consider going short on that
particular Forex pair.
Shooting star and inverted hammer point at the exit/entry points
A
shooting star and an inverted hammer are basically a hanging man and a
hammer turned upside down that also act as the reversal patterns that
emerge at the probable finale of a strong trending movement. The pattern
is formed when the price of the particular Forex pair opens slightly
above the close of the previous day, rallies strongly at first, but then
gets pressurized by the sellers almost to the open of the trading
session, thus forming the pattern with a long upper shadow, a small
body, and little to no lower shadow. Please remember that the shooting
star pattern can be considered as tradable only in trending markets,
especially during powerful rallies, or at the top of the congestion
zone. A shooting star and an inverted hammer in the ranging market has
little to no significance with regard to forecasting the upcoming price
movement.
An inverted hammer, on the other hand, appears at the
potential bottom of a downtrend and indicates that the buyers are
seizing the initiative, and the price action might start going in the
opposite direction. Both these patterns indicate that the market
participants couldnt sustain the rally or the downslide.
However, as
with any other individual Forex candlestick pattern, it is highly
advisable to exercise patience and wait until the market reacts during
the following trading session, whether it‘s on an hourly or a daily time
frame. If the price starts moving in the direction opposite to the
trend, preferably with a gap at the session’s open, the probability of a
full-fledged reversal increases substantially. Also, when trading the
shooting star pattern, you can get the confirmation by means of momentum
indicators, such as MACD or RSI, which come very handy when determining
when the shift of power takes place within the market. If the shooting
star pops up when RSI, for instance, is deep in the overbought area
(above 80), consider going for a sell or entering a short position.
Moreover, when there is a divergence shown by any of these indicators (a
discrepancy between the direction of the price action and the movement
of indicators moving averages), the shooting star pattern at the top of
the price swing would constitute a mighty strong sell signal.
As
for the inverted hammer, it has a similar confirmation scheme: the gap
to the upside on the back of the growing bullish momentum and rising
price, but here it‘s important to take into account the color of the
real body and the time during which the price holds above the hammer’s
body and within the upper wick - the shorter it is, the higher is the
probability that the reversal will pan out.
The Wall